Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 8.713051 9.758983 10.945118 12.403965 14.169815 16.264663 18.978975
2024-12-29 7.325541 8.724279 10.469415 12.865604 16.171335 20.741387 27.883387
2025-01-05 6.232516 7.683790 9.597351 12.407836 16.630473 23.133331 34.896840
2025-01-12 5.445256 6.873622 8.830656 11.847692 16.680968 24.791716 41.438959
2025-01-19 4.904361 6.310111 8.297623 11.489095 16.895625 26.708990 49.515712
2025-01-26 4.561614 5.975799 8.036124 11.479110 17.650643 29.823409 62.439747
2025-02-02 4.500575 6.033276 8.354799 12.446034 20.376586 38.051336 97.852231
2025-02-09 4.363040 5.956866 8.447686 13.034826 22.548585 46.285407 149.192324
2025-02-16 4.142755 5.729281 8.264387 13.084781 23.603375 52.315634 208.459175
2025-02-23 4.025554 5.651096 8.317223 13.584984 25.826818 63.436183 354.305377
2025-03-02 3.755052 5.303871 7.871759 13.027969 25.340816 65.251931 437.351718
2025-03-09 3.582746 5.104651 7.666948 12.932671 26.017960 72.040790 668.726355
2025-03-16 3.390501 4.877366 7.423792 12.795769 26.774740 81.083221 1252.565525
2025-03-23 3.290952 4.801441 7.454635 13.277763 29.562229 104.381248 6910.136433
2025-03-30 3.084924 4.526961 7.086528 12.798263 29.276416 111.112712 31271.068793
2025-04-06 2.887213 4.253736 6.696845 12.212152 28.477930 114.016119 645036.968231
2025-04-13 2.731898 4.044761 6.413036 11.837246 28.287041 121.557546 NaN
2025-04-20 2.630264 3.923473 6.288352 11.826810 29.376908 142.185376 NaN
2025-04-27 2.638924 3.998028 6.555627 12.838250 34.794722 228.606957 NaN
2025-05-04 2.604770 3.991974 6.659045 13.455005 39.159407 347.241951 NaN
2025-05-11 2.523804 3.893831 6.561119 13.507362 41.093706 452.761150 NaN
2025-05-18 2.485752 3.873174 6.625171 14.031862 45.781662 758.866798 NaN
2025-05-25 2.366292 3.691590 6.326519 13.447819 44.279031 780.101748 NaN